Civilization, Modernization, Value Investment and China
Li Lu’s *Civilization, Modernization, Value Investment and China* blends cross-disciplinary historical research, economic analysis, and hands-on investment expertise to demystify China’s rise and its place in global civilization. Drawing on Jared Diamond’s geographic determinism and Ian Morris’s Social Development Index, Lu traces 16,000 years of human progress, breaking down why the West pulled ahead after 1800 and how China is now catching up. He unpacks the Malthusian trap that constrained agricultural civilizations, the catalysts of modernization (free markets, constitutional democracy, steam power), and China’s turbulent journey from Opium Wars to reform-era growth. Shifting to investing, Lu makes a compelling case for value investing’s viability in China, using examples like BYD to show how focusing on business ownership, safety margins, and staying within one’s circle of competence delivers long-term returns. His unique perspective—shaped by 20+ years in both China and the U.S.—bridges East-West divides, offering investors and global thinkers a clear roadmap to understand China’s past, present, and future.